Choose a format, two teams and the result of each match in a series. The table below shows how the ICC team rankings would look afterwards, using the ICC rating formula on today's points.
In Tests India (105) trail South Africa (124) by 19 points and would go top by beating them in 5 straight matches; India already top the ODI rankings; in T20Is India (267) trail England (269) by 2 points and would go top by beating them in 2 straight matches, assuming no other results change the table.
Gaps at the top of the men's tables — Test: South Africa lead Australia by 2; ODI: India lead New Zealand by 8; T20I: England lead India by 2. A gap under 40 points means a single series between the two can swing it, because a win earns the loser's rating plus 50.
Every team's rating is its ranking points divided by the matches it has played. A new match earns both teams points based on the gap between their ratings at the start of the series:
- Ratings less than 40 apart: the winner earns the loser's rating + 50, the loser earns the winner's rating − 50. A tie or draw earns each team the other's rating.
- Ratings 40 or more apart: if the stronger team wins, it earns its own rating + 10 and the weaker team earns its own rating − 10. If the weaker team wins, it earns its own rating + 90 and the stronger team its own rating − 90. A tie or draw earns the stronger team its own rating − 40 and the weaker team its own rating + 40.
The new rating is (points + points earned) ÷ (matches + matches played). This is an estimate: ICC also weights older seasons less, recalculates every May, and adds a bonus for winning a Test series, which this tool does not model. No-results don't count.
Can India become No. 1 in the Test rankings?
India are No. 4 on 105, 19 points behind South Africa. By the ICC formula, beating South Africa in 5 straight Tests would take India to No. 1 if nothing else changed.
Can India become No. 1 in the T20I rankings?
India are No. 2 on 267, 2 points behind England. By the ICC formula, beating England in 2 straight T20Is would take India to No. 1 if nothing else changed.
How many ranking points does a team get for a win?
If the two ratings are less than 40 apart, the winner earns the loser's rating plus 50 and the loser the winner's rating minus 50. If they are 40 or more apart, a favourite's win earns its own rating plus 10, and an upset earns the underdog its own rating plus 90.
How accurate is the rankings predictor?
It applies the ICC formula to today's points, so it is close for a single series. It does not model the weighting of older results, the annual May update or the Test series bonus.